Category Archives: Mopinion

Who actually bought the ‘Manny signs’ crap? Mopinion week two results

Mopinion week two was as successful as week one in terms of responses so thank you to all who took part.  I promise next week there’ll be some sort of theme involved which could make it more interesting.

Three of this week’s questions involved Manny Ramirez who was reported to have a deal in place with the Los Angeles Angels O’ Anaheim, but as the team and Manny’s agent pointed out, that story wasn’t true.

The original story was in the Toronto Star by sports’ writer Mark Zwolinski and was apparently conceived of a Twitter message from a fake account.  Nice going, idiot, you just made all Canadian baseball writers look bad.

A couple things about this story tipped me (and others) off right away; it just didn’t add up.

1) The Star was the only media outlet in the continent to be reporting this story.  No one else, not a paper in Anaheim, L.A., Boston, Chicago, or any of the other myriad of places that would make plenty more sense reported that Manny had signed.

2) There was no source named besides the infamous Twitter Twit, which was quite obviously a fake account;  nothing from a PR rep for the Angels, nothing from Manny’s management team, nothing from a noted journalist who might have been in the area, nothing.

3) Neither the dollar amount, nor the team made much sense.  The Angels do not need another DH-type player with Mike Napoli, Bobby Abreu and Juan Rivera already on the roster and the $4-million figure quoted in the story makes little sense.  I know Thome signed for $3-million, but it was rumoured he left much more on the table from the Rangers and other teams to stay in Minnesota and Ramirez is slightly younger and probably has as high a potential ceiling for 2010.  If Ramirez signed for anything less than $6-million I’d be very surprised.

And now to the results:

Question #1 asked: If you could have one Blue Jay sign an extension, who would it be?

I wagered in the post that I hoped the Jays’ wouldn’t sign Bautista to a long-term extension because it’s doubtful he maintains a high level of play for a number of years.  Still, I assumed most people would have selected Joey Bats as the one player they’d like to bring back on a long-term deal.

I was wrong.  Of the 25 voters, eleven (44%) chose Brandon Morrow, who, for the record, would also be my choice; having said that, I would like the Jays to wait until he has full season of sustained success before taking that plunge.

Seven voters took Travis Snider (28%), while only four voters (16%) thought Bautista should get the cash.  Two took Yunel Escobar (8%) and one voted “other”, although I’m not sure who it would be.  Surprisingly, not one took Brett Cecil.

Question #2 asked: Which team is most likely to sign Manny?

Despite my update that the original story was false just minutes after posting the question, 28% of the 25 voters think the Angels stand the best chance.  The leader was Toronto at 32%.  The Rays took home 20%, the Orioles 12% and two people voted for another team; assumedly Jon Heyman’s mystery team.  The Yankees, maybe?  I don’t know.  They give you a space to write an alternative answer in and then don’t show you the answer.

I believe that either the Rays or the Orioles have the best shot, with Toronto maybe sneaking in there to sign him.  Jays’ GM Alex Anthopoulos hasn’t publicly stated any interest in Manny (which is team policy, I know), nor has there been any concrete rumours that Toronto and Manny are potential marriage partners.

The Rays may not want to deal with the inherent bullhonkey that goes with signing Manny, so my vote went to the Orioles who have the cash and seem like the type of team that brings in aging players to bump them to the 70-win mark instead of their traditional 60 wins.

Question #3 asked: How much does Manny sign for?

Jim Thome may bring the market down slightly, but I would guess not as much as people think.  To me, Manny signs for between $7-million and $9-million mostly because of how good he is when he’s on.  The majority of voters (56%) selected the $5-$7-million range, 28% selected the $3-5-million range and 16% were with me in the $7-million+ range.

Question #4 asked: How many homers does Manny tag in 2011?

40% think he’ll rebound to hit 21-25, 28% think he’ll be in the 16-20 range, 20% think 10-15 and there was one vote each for 0-9, 26-30, and 31+.  I think he’ll be somewhere in the low 20’s as long as he stays healthy all year.

Question #5 asked: Which pitcher switching teams this offseason has the best chance at winning the 2011 NL CY Young Award?

55.56% think Zack Greinke has the best shot while 37.04% think Cliff Lee has the best shot.  Two people voted for Marcum (probably extreme Jays’ fans), while there was no love for Matt Garza.  Based on talent alone, I think Greinke has the best chance, but given that Lee’s situation is a bit more favourable to the dreaded win column and he’s slightly more consistent, my vote has to go to him.

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Mopinion — Week 2: The ‘I Better Not Get Sued’ Edition

It’s Mopinion time, and as I said last week, there’s a company with the same name.  Here’s there obligatory shout-out so I can avoid getting sued for what very little money I possess.  A brotha’s gotta eat.

I would tell you what they do, but it appears to be in German.  Maybe the good sir who contacted me can inform you in the comments.

There’s no real focus this week, just randomness.  I supposed it would behoove me to have a specific theme, you know, for readers’ interest sake, but I’m far too lazy today to come up with one and stick to it.  Maybe next week.

I figure most people are thinking Jose Bautista, but for the Jayson Werth-like money he’d get, I’m not sure the Jays should sign him long-term.  I think we can all agree that he won’t have another season like 2010, and even if he does have more All-Star calibre seasons, he likely won’t have a lot more.  It’s the nature of late-bloomers.

Reports are indicating that he’s very close to signing with the Angels, but reports have been wrong before.  UPDATE: And in fact, they were wrong this time too.  Nice job, moron.

Quick, answer it before he signs!!

I think the last one is the most obvious; somewhere in the 70-billion range.

I’ll have my answers up tonight, All-knowing-all-capable space creature-willing.

Mopinion results — week one

What the B'Jesus??

I know it’s nearly two days later than I said it would be, but here it is.  The results of a fairly successful week one of Mopinion.  I honestly got way more votes than I expected.

Question #1 asked: Which team has had the worst off-season so far?  ten of the 26 voters selected the Yankees, coming in at 38.46%, while eight (30.77%) selected the Angels.  Four people had the Cubs (15.38%), three (11.54%) had the Tigers and one person (3.85%) voted for the Mets.

While writing and thinking about the question I could not decide between the Angels and Yankees.  I think, however, the Yankees take the cake purely because of how much better the Red Sox appear to be than they were at the end of 2010.  The Angels’ biggest rivals, Texas, lost Cliff Lee so any improvement brought on by the addition of Adrian Beltre is nullified and then some.

Question #2 asked: Besides Kyle Drabek, who is the Jays’ best pitching prospect.

Like I said in the preamble, Baseball America is as wrong as anybody trying to predict who will and won’t be stars in baseball.  They are a fantastic reference and a knowledgeable source of information, but picking the best prospects in a given system is nearly impossible.  Having said that, from what I’ve read (not just from BA), I like Aaron Sanchez.  I believe in a year or two he’ll be the top prospect in the Jays’ system.

The results of the poll saw eleven of 24 voters (45.83%) choosing Deck McGuire, the Jays’ 2010 first-round pick.  Six people (25%) selected Zach Stewart, five people (20.83%) voted for Sanchez, and two (8.33%) picked Asher Lotsaletters.

Question #3 asked: Which Jays’ catching prospect will have the greatest impact on the major-league team.

I believe the Jays are not entirely convinced J.P. Arencibia will one day be a quality major-leaguer.  They had way too much interest in free agent catchers like Miguel Olivo to convince me that they totally believe in Arencibia’s ability.  Having said that, I would choose Travis D’Arnaud who appears to be a plus offensive threat and is turning into a solid defensive option.

The results saw twelve of 25 voters (48%) choose Arencibia, while 9 (36%) think D’Arnaud has a brighter future in Toronto.  Four people (16%) think Carlos Perez is the long-term heir of the catching throne, while there’s no love for Brian Jeroloman who’s stock has fallen dramatically in recent years.

Question #4 asked: Which free-agent signing in this off-season has been the dumbest so far.

The people have spoken, and who am I to disagree?  Fourteen of 25 voters thought Jayson Werth’s ridiculous 7yr/$126-million contract is the dumbest so far.  For a late-bloomer who has had only two seasons with more than 500 plate appearances, that deal is mega-fucked.  If the Nationals strategy is to woo potential free agents by drastically overpaying for them, then they’ll succeed in becoming the New York Rangers of baseball.  How’s that working out for them exactly?

Five people (20%) gave V-Mart’s 4yr/$50-million deal with Detroit the nod, four (16%) gave Berkman’s one-year pact with the Cards the honour and two (8%) gave it to Adrian Beltre.  Joaquin Benoit assuredly would have done better in a poll asking for the dumbest relief pitcher contract, but he failed to garner any votes in this here poll.

Question #5 asked: Who will play the most innings at first base for the Jays this year?

Not surprisingly, 20 of 24 voters (83.33%) selected Adam Lind who will at the very least play there when a righthander is on the mound.  I agree.  By that logic alone, barring injuries of course, Lind should play the most innings.  Unless he’s so awful defensively that they have to enact plan B.

Three people (12.5%) voted Edwin Encarnacion and one person voted for Getting Blanked’s Dustin Parkes who’s currently close to signing a minor-league deal with a Spring Training invite.

No one voted for Arencibia (who could have a future at the position, just not in 2011) and David Cooper, who I think most people have just given up on.

Well, that was fun.  Mopinion will return next Monday with a shout-out to a company who shares the same name.

If you have any questions you’d like to see put up, shoot them up in the comments, yo.

Mopinion!! (It’s a hybrid of ‘Monday’ and ‘Opinion’, try to keep up)

Upon discovering that you can imbed polls into posts, I decided to include a new weekly feature over here on Baseball Canadiana.  Mopinion!  Each week I’ll post a few polls asking for your opinion on different topics around baseball.

Every Tuesday (or Monday night) I’ll reveal how I voted on each question and give a little bit of my reasoning.  And I have to warn you, I’ve taken a couple philosophy classes in my day so my reasoning skills are what you’d call mediocre at worst.

Doesn’t that seem like more fun than watching A-Rod whiff on a high fastball?  No?

The Cubs missed out on both Adrian Gonzalez and Adrian Beltre and then traded what seems like a lot to the Rays for Matt Garza.

The Yankees missed out on Cliff Lee who chose Philadelphia, and while they were going balls deep in that pursuit, Boston acquired two superstars in one week to instantly make them AL East favourites at the Yankees’ expense.

The Angels were said to be in on Carl Crawford, Adrian Beltre and at times Cliff Lee and missed out on all three.  Their best free agent signing so far this offseason has been for Blue Jay Scott Downs.  When your fans are expecting big names, Downs doesn’t exactly cut it.

The Mets have watched as the Phillies and Nationals have made their respective teams much better, while the Marlins and Braves seem to have much more on paper than they do already.  Is it just me or are the Mets in trouble?

The Tigers made two or three of the dumbest free agent signings I’ve seen for a long time.

Just for reference, Baseball America ranks McGuire number two, Stewart number five, Wojciechowski number six, and Sanchez number nine in the Jays’ top ten prospects.

Again, BA ranks D’Arnaud number four, Arencibia number seven, and Perez number eight.  Jeroloman is not ranked in the top ten.

I figure Parkes has some game.  His splits against lefties are probably better than Lind’s

Tune in later or tomorrow for my selections.